Month: November 2009

So to rephrases the question: P(question right | you know Bayes’ rule) = … by Bayes’ Rule P ( you know Bayes’ rule | question right ) P ( question right ) / P ( you know Bayes’ rule) That’s kind of confusing. What struck me was how interesting it is how our intuitions about … Continue reading What is the probability you get this question right, given you know Bayes’ rule?

My friend Feross just wrote a really fascinating blog post showing a few videos about a study showing delayed gratification to be a high predictor of success. See one of the videos below: Or read Feross’ post here: It is a very interesting idea to think of “success” as the ability to postpone your rewards … Continue reading The Psychology of Success